The market sell-off is over. The market sell-off is just beginning. The financial crisis in Europe is over. The Financial crisis in Europe is just really beginning. The debt and deficit crisis in the US will not be solved until after the presidential election. These are the headlines and comments that have been with us since the summer. The market was up almost 12% to start this year and has dropped almost 12% in 4 weeks.
What should investors do?
First, ignore it. Ignore the noise, the meaningless “insight” provided by people more concerned with TV time than your money. Focus on reality – the reality you face every day at work, in the business you run, when you look at your retirement account, when you are paying your kids tuition bills and sending them their allowance. What am I going to bring in the next thirty days. Not thirty years. Not thirty months. Not thirty weeks, thirty days.
Instead of razor sharp thinking, turn to Occam’s Razor, the philosophical principle that, in short, says when you explain “a thing” no more assumptions should be made than are necessary. The “thing” here is making money in this market; the only assumption you need to make is your income horizon is thirty days. And when that thirty day period closes, it starts over again, and so on.
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